By the Numbers
U.S. coal consumption continues to decline across all sectors
AJOT | June 16, 2020 | Energy | Conventional | By The Numbers
U.S. coal consumption has been declining since its peak in 2007 of 1.1 billion short tons. In 2019, U.S. coal consumption totaled 590 million short tons (MMst).
US NGL output set to fall by 20% by end-2021 from March’s all-time high, but Permian will hold up
AJOT | June 16, 2020 | Energy | Conventional | By The Numbers
The US output of natural gas liquids (NGL), which reached an all-time high of 5.3 million barrels per day (bpd) as recently as March 2020, is poised for a steep two-year decline, Rystad Energy’s base case view reveals
DAT Truckload Volume Index: Spot Market Stabilizes to Pre-COVID Levels, Largely Returning to Seasonal Patterns
AJOT | June 16, 2020 | By The Numbers
After bottoming out at the beginning of May, truckload freight volumes recovered to pre-COVID levels and largely returned to seasonal patterns in the second half of the month, according to DAT Freight & Analytics, which operates the industry’s largest online marketplace for spot truckload freight.
North American Freight Begins Long Road to Recovery
AJOT | June 16, 2020 | Intermodal | By The Numbers
The freight market seems to have bottomed out in April, but May didn't fare much better, showing only a 1.6% increase from April. Shipping volumes were down 23.6% compared to last year.
US fracking slowdown set to add at least two years of backlog work as DUC wells pile up
AJOT | June 15, 2020 | Energy | Conventional | By The Numbers
The backlog, which will likely increase in June, is equivalent to about two years of fracking at the current pace.
Cargo Volumes Continue Slide in May; Trend Could Last Through August
AJOT | June 15, 2020 | Ports & Terminals | Ports | By The Numbers
The Port of Virginia’s cargo volumes are continuing to reflect the impact of the COVID- 19 pandemic on commercial shipping as the port, in May, experienced its biggest one-month volume drop since the virus began slowing the global economy.
More than 100,000 oil and gas jobs already lost in the US, wages seen falling at least 8-10% in 2021
AJOT | June 12, 2020 | Energy | Conventional | By The Numbers
The US oil and gas labor market is amongst the world’s most severely hit by the downturn that the Covid-19 pandemic has brought, a Rystad Energy analysis of the latest data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (US BLS) reveals.
The central United States set several wind power records this spring
AJOT | June 12, 2020 | Energy | Alternative | By The Numbers
Earlier this year, the Southwest Power Pool (SPP), the regional transmission organization that manages the electric grid for much of the central United States, set records for the highest share of electricity demand supplied by wind power in both a single-hour period (72%) and a full day (62%).
U.S. fuel ethanol production and inventory changes have largely followed motor gasoline
AJOT | June 08, 2020 | Energy | Conventional | By The Numbers
U.S. fuel ethanol production fell dramatically during late March and in April 2020, driven by significant reductions in motor gasoline demand as a result of mitigation efforts for the 2019 novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19).
Ports report regional transshipments on the rise with cargo call volumes flat-lining or falling - WPSP
AJOT | June 08, 2020 | Ports & Terminals | Ports | By The Numbers
With a record response of 104 ports from around the world, the summary of the latest IAPH-WPSP Port Economic Impact Barometer for weeks 22 and 23 highlights the following trends
Offshore wind expenditure set to match upstream oil and gas in Europe in 2021, surpass it in 2022
AJOT | June 08, 2020 | Energy | Alternative | By The Numbers
The oil market collapse caused by the Covid-19 pandemic is set to delay several oil and gas developments in Western Europe, putting capital expenditure in the offshore sector on a continued downwards trajectory through 2022.
China’s Soybean Imports Surged in May on Buying From Brazil
Bloomberg | June 07, 2020 | International Trade | Commodity | By The Numbers
Soybean imports by China rose 27% in May from a year earlier, after crushers increased purchases from Brazil to take advantage of cheap supplies amid strong crush margins.
China’s Copper Imports Drop as Overseas Lockdowns Tighten Supply
Bloomberg | June 07, 2020 | International Trade | Commodity | By The Numbers
China, the world’s largest copper consumer, imported less metal and concentrate last month as pandemic-driven lockdowns in overseas mining regions disrupted supplies.
Oil rises again on renewed OPEC+ meeting hopes - Rystad
AJOT | June 05, 2020 | Energy | Conventional | By The Numbers
Rystad Energy’s daily market comment from our Head of Oil Markets Bjornar Tonhaugen: It’s all about the OPEC+ meeting. As it was initially intended to happen on Thursday, when that did not materialize, prices fell because traders sensed a lack of agreement between the extended group’s producing countries. Now the mood has changed again and prices rose, following news that a consensus may have been reached and a meeting is across the corner. It now seems very likely that OPEC+ will meet tomorrow to hash out a deal to extend the current May-June deep cuts for one more month. Rumors have it that a breakthrough was reached with Iraq last night and crude prices resumed gains this morning, both for Brent and WTI. Iraq has struggled to comply fully with their 1.061 million bpd target cut, delivering only around a 400,000 bpd cut for the first month of May 2020. Assurances and agreements with IOCs operating in Iraq has now been reached, and Iraq has a higher chance of being able to reduce production from the giant IOC-operated fields in the Basrah region than ever before. However, we are still skeptical that Iraq will be able to deliver the 1 million bpd cuts in full, and for now see an additional cut of 100,000-200,000 bpd in July as more likely. The more interesting question for the oil market right now is what happens from August onwards. As long as the demand recover stays intact, we believe the crude market will be in deficit also in August and onwards, despite cuts being tapered by 2 million bpd to the scheduled 7.7 million bpd level. That will ensure a fundamental support for prices, while also spurring a quicker reactivation of curtailed US oil production, and eventually frac crews ending their holidays early. Indications show that a bit more than 300,000 bpd from shut US production is actually coming back online already from June as a result of the current price levels. OPEC+ is fully aware of this balancing act as they prepare to meet virtually over the weekend. And the producers are not just interested only at reactivating production, they have a stock build that they want to trim as well. The deficit will help reduce that burden and bring back healthier price levels sooner than it was maybe thought. So, even if demand exceeds supply for a while, that does not mean that we really have a problem to source oil. Oil is there, lots of it, waiting to be drawn from storage facilities.
The Global Forest Industry First Quarter 2020
AJOT | June 05, 2020 | International Trade | Commodity | By The Numbers
There were relatively few price changes for sawlogs throughout the world in the 1Q/20 despite interruptions in trade and uncertainty in short-term lumber demand in many of the key markets.
FTR Reports North American Class 8 Net Orders Remain Subdued in May at 6,600 Units
AJOT | June 03, 2020 | Intermodal | Trucking | By The Numbers
FTR reports preliminary North American Class 8 net orders for May remained subdued at 6,600 units. While up 61% from the dismal April activity, the May orders were down 37% y/y. Class 8 net orders for the last twelve months total 155,000 units.
FIS Air Freight Report June 2, 2020
AJOT | June 02, 2020 | By The Numbers
The China to USA route begins a very sharp slide into weaker territory, down -22.44% in one week to a still relatively high level of $7.12. China to Europe, supported by price strength out of Hong Kong, drops out a shallower 6.97% or 55 cents.
Among oil majors promising renewable investments, only one is putting serious money on the table
AJOT | May 29, 2020 | Energy | Conventional | By The Numbers
Investments in solar and wind energy projects by the world’s oil majors over the next five years are expected to reach $17.5 billion, a Rystad Energy analysis finds.
Daytime electricity demand in New York City most affected by COVID-19 mitigation actions
AJOT | May 22, 2020 | Energy | Conventional | By The Numbers
Actions to mitigate the 2019 novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) have caused daily weekday electricity demand in New York City to decrease by 16% in April compared with expected demand, after accounting for seasonal temperature changes.
Road fuels get a small boost, US oil demand revised higher, Europe’s lower
AJOT | May 22, 2020 | Energy | Conventional | By The Numbers
Rystad Energy’s weekly comprehensive Covid-19 report calculates the effect of the novel coronavirus on our lives and offers updated estimates for global fuel markets.
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