In EIA’s September Short-Term Energy Outlook, they expect U.S. consumption of natural gas to decline in 2021 and 2022 from 2020 levels. EIA forecasts that consumption of natural gas will decline in all end-use sectors in the United States except in the industrial sector and for other non-sector-specific uses (e.g., lease and plant fuel, pipeline and distribution use, and vehicle use) in 2022. The largest decline will occur in the electric power sector.
They expect total U.S. consumption of natural gas to average 82.5 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) in 2021, down 0.7 Bcf/d from 2020. EIA also expects U.S. natural gas consumption in 2022 to increase slightly from 2021 to 82.6 Bcf/d as increasing consumption in the industrial sector offsets declining consumption in the electric power sector, though total 2022 consumption still remains lower than the 2020 level.