Rates react to current demand trends, with a significant bounce in rates into Europe conflicting with a drop in rates into North America, at a point where rates have historically been their lowest. The market is already representing significant unpredictability however remains within the limits of the China-Europe forward curve. The market reflects carrier sentiment and long-term demand predictions with continuing pressure from a lack of demand ex. Asia to North America in conjunction with ongoing trade conflict.
Core Air Routes (AGRs)
Airfreight Route (AR)
|
Description | PREVIOUS | USD/KG | CHANGE |
AGR 1
|
Average of Hong Kong (HKG) to Los Angeles (LAX) & Chicago (ORD) & New York (JFK) | 3.726 | 3.45 | -7.41% |
AGR 2
|
Average of Hong Kong (HKG) to London (LHR) & Frankfurt (FRA) & Amsterdam (AMS) | 2.77 | 2.626 | -5.19% |
AGR 3
|
Average of Hong Kong (HKG) to Singapore (SIN) & Bangkok (BKK) & Shanghai (PVG) | 1.123 | 1.13 | 0.62% |
AGR 4
|
Average of Shanghai (PVG) to Amsterdam (AMS) & Frankfurt (FRA) & London (LHR) | 2.9 | 2.696 | -7.03% |
TRADE LANE AGGREGATE
|
USD/KG | CHANGE | CHANGE % | MTD |
CHINA - EUR
|
2.75 | 0.09 | 3.38% | 2.80 |
CHINA - USA
|
3.42 | -0.11 | -3.12% | 3.65 |
BLENDED ROUTES
|
USD/KG | CHANGE |
PVG/EUR
|
2.90USD | -0.06 (-2.03%) |
HKG/EUR
|
2.59USD | +0.24 (+10.2%) |
PVG/US
|
3.55USD | -0.18 (-4.83%) |
HKG/US
|
3.29USD | -0.03 (-0.904%) |
The Forward Curve
China-Europe markets remain in line with forward curve predictions hence the lack of change, however please look out for an updated market report inclusive of a China-US forward curve next week.