Americans will pay more for everything from big-screen TVs to school supplies if the Trump administration follows through on threats to slap tariffs on Chinese imports, U.S. retailers warned.

President Donald Trump has threatened to impose duties on as much as $150 billion in Chinese goods to punish Beijing for alleged violations of intellectual property. The administration hasn’t said when tariffs will take effect, and is holding high-level negotiations with Chinese officials that could result in a change of policy.

The U.S. Trade Representative’s office said it was careful to pick a list of imports that wouldn’t raise prices for consumers. But representatives for the American retail industry said Wednesday that the tariff list still includes televisions, monitors, mini-refrigerators, tools and other products sold at stores run by Walmart Inc. and Target Corp. They spoke during the second day of three days of hearings on the proposed tariffs before a Trade Representative’s committee in Washington.

“It’s not complicated,” David French, senior vice president for government relations at the National Retail Federation, told a panel of government officials at the hearing. “Higher tariffs are a tax on growth that will hurt consumers and cost American jobs.”

Additional Costs

Retailers will pass on to consumers the additional costs from tariffs because they can’t quickly change suppliers, French said. Stores have already placed orders for back-to-school and holiday sales, he said.

Companies and trade groups generally support U.S. efforts to crack down on allegations of Chinese intellectual property theft and unfair trade practices. But many are pushing for a negotiated agreement between the two nations, rather than imposing tariffs that would raise costs on imports and draw punishing retaliatory Chinese tariffs. While some entities are asking for products to be added to the target list for duties, others want their goods exempted.

General Electric Co., one the largest U.S. employers and exporters, said imposing tariffs on products such as aviation and medical parts could hit American operations and jobs—including its Wisconsin-based facilities that employ 6,000 people.

The company asked the government to exclude components that are intra-company transfers from facilities in China owned and controlled by U.S. manufacturers, as well as inputs that cannot be quickly replaced and those containing high U.S. content.

“Tariffs would impose significant and disproportionate costs on U.S. businesses, workers and consumers without advancing—and even potentially undermining—the president’s goals,” Karan Bhatia, president of government affairs and policy at GE and a former deputy U.S. trade representative, said in his testimony.

No Consensus

There’s no clear consensus among economists about the long-term price impact of tariffs. Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President John Williams said May 15 that a “huge increase” in tariffs would hurt economic growth and prove inflationary. But the International Monetary Fund’s Western Hemisphere Director Alejandro Werner in April said that price increases from tariffs would be temporary.

American retailers aren’t so sanguine.

The National Retail Federation and Consumer Technology Association released a study last month estimating that the proposed tariffs and resulting decline in U.S. imports from China would force consumers to pay $711 million more during the next year than they otherwise would for the televisions they continue to buy.

The American Apparel & Footwear Association is opposing tariffs on dozens of lines of textile, apparel and footwear equipment and machinery such as sewing machines because it says the duties would boost costs for members in the U.S. The average family of four would pay at least an additional $500 a year to buy consumer products affected by the tariffs, Rick Helfenbein, the group’s president and chief executive officer, testified.

“It is a fact that tariffs are a hidden tax on U.S. consumers,” he said. “More tariffs are not a cure for what ails us.”

The committee taking testimony heard pleas from companies to exclude components for products and finished goods including filters for above-ground pools, outboard motor and snow throwers.

HP Inc. is seeking exclusions for tariffs on imported ink and toner cartridges, and the broad-based proposed tariffs would still allow knock-off products to enter the U.S., said Andy Binder, vice president and general manager of Hewlett Packard’s Office Supplies Solutions business.

Products including rangefinders for golfers and rifle scopes for hunters sold by Vista Outdoor Inc. were not specifically targeted by the tariffs but are still included in the categories selected for duties, said Dave Allen, group president of the company’s Outdoor Products segment. He asked for exemptions for the products or other ways to exclude them because they are mass-market goods.

“This means that ordinary Americans would be affected the most,” Allen said.