b'4American Journal of Transportation ajot.com(RESETcontinued frompolicy expert at CSIS. In thisDepartmentdata,soybeaniffs and we dont expect themlabor and other human rights page 2) case, while the numbers areexportsforthefirstelevento do that, Rabinowitz said. violations. Bidens labor con-allies and partners elsewhere.somewhat of a stretch, givenmonthsof2020increasedReinschfashionsthisstituency and his own human He will almost certainly jettisonall thats happened since the25% over a year earlier andslightlydifferently:Bidenrightsagendacouldmakeit Trumps unilateral and punitiveagreement was signed, I thinkmost of this can be attributedwould like to make the tariffshard for him to walk back any approach to conducting foreigntheyllmeetthephaseoneto China. However, 2018 sawgoawaybecausehessensi- such sanctions.relations, including trade. numbersoverthetwoyearsoybeanexportstoChinative to the damage they causeThe issue of forced labor Atthesametime,theperiod. I dont think theyrecollapse by about 50%, whilehere and not to just farmers,is very, very important, said Bidenadministrationwontridiculously out of the range2019wasessentiallyflat.butmanufacturers.ButtheRabinowitz. The Department radically alter trade policies,of possibilities given the eco- Meanwhile, China ramped upmostfundamentalprincipleofLaborhasweighedinon at least not yet. It will likelynomic recovery in both Chinasoybean imports from Brazil. of trade negotiation is theresit. US Customs is being very takeadeliberateandslowand the United States. At the same time, Wash- no free lunch. Hes not goingaggressiveonthisissue.So, approach to tariffs and otherington will be reassessing theto get rid of them gratuitously.companieshavetobevery, aspects of trade. The BidenUS-China relationship, whileHes only going to get rid ofvery careful. mantra from during the cam- Beijingwillbeappraisingthem if the Chinese are will-paign,andstill,hasbeenwhataBidenadministrationing to make some concessionsa sIae x -c hIna :essentially on trade, no suddenmeanstobilateralrelations.that he can pronounce as justi- The US-China trade war, moves, said Bill Reinsch, whoTradewillcertainlyplayafying getting rid of them. Chinasrapidlyescalating holds the Scholl chair in inter- key role. The prior adminis- Oneloomingpointoflabor costs, and its own push national business at the CenterScott Miller, Center for Strategictrationwasaggressiveinitscontentionishumanrightsto higher value-added manu-for Strategic and Internationaland International Studies approach. TheBidenadmin- violationsontheUighurinfacturing,combinedtoprod Studies (CSIS). Dont expectThismightbeeasieristrationwillcontinuetobeXinjiang, which is central tobothChinesemanufacturers thetariffstogoaway.Dontsaid than done, however, andaggressive, said Laura SiegelChinascottonindustry.Justand American importers alike expect sudden changes. Theretheres a steep hill to climb.Rabinowitz, a trade specialistdays before it ceded power, thetolookelsewhereinAsia areallthesepoliciesthatareIntermsofsome Americanattorney with the firm Green- Trump administration bannedforsourcingmassmanufac-being reviewed. exports, the damage may beberg Traurig. The optics forimportsofXinjiangcotton,tured goods such as apparel. difficulttoerase.Takesoy- the new administration couldtomatoesandallproductsVietnam quickly became the beanexports,forexample.bethatofweaknessiftheymade with these raw materi- (RESETcontinued on According to US Agriculturesimply reverse the China tar- als, because of alleged forcedpage 7)Bill Reinsch, Center for Strategic and International StudiesHeres a look at some of themajortradingpartners theBidenadministration must grapple with and what it could mean to US exports and imports.c hIna : Oneyearback,theUS and China inked an economic trade agreement, designed to lowertheheatoncrackling tradetensionsandtit-for-tat tariffsandreprisals.Under the first phase of the accord, Chinaagreedtoincreaseits imports of US goods and ser-vices in a two-year period by a combined $200 billion over 2017levelsof$180billion, the year before the trade war was launched.The timing of the agree-mentcouldnthavebeen worse.Withindaysofsign-ing,theglobaleconomy begantosputterandstallas the COVID-19 pandemic tore through country after country.Not surprisingly, Chinese importsofAmericangoods came nowhere close to expec-tationslastyear.According to estimates fashioned by the PetersonInstituteforInter-nationalEconomicsChad Bown, Chinas two-year com-mitmentimplied$173bil-lion worth of goods purchased lastyear.Yet,Chinaonly importedabout$100billion. Inthetwomaincategories, according to Bowns figures, agriculturefellshortby$13 billion and totaled just $23.5 billion,whilemanufactur-ing turned in a dismal total of $66.7 billion, some $44.5 bil-lion under target.Will 2021 be a different story? Some believe so. One of the things the Chi-nese do adhere to in their agree-mentsisnumericaltargets, said Scott Miller, another trade'